• Research Paper on:
    Robert Shiller's Irrational Exuberance

    Number of Pages: 5

     

    Summary of the research paper:

    In five pages this 2000 text on stock market trends is reviewed and recommended for those considering stock market investing. Four sources are cited in the bibliography.

    Name of Research Paper File: D0_TJShill1.rtf

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    Unformatted Sample Text from the Research Paper:
    stock markets. Essentially, Shiller states that the increase in the stock markets is a result of several cultural, sociological and psychological elements and not based on an increase of "real  value". He admits that there are many factors involved, including the introduction of the Internet into American homes and an increased awareness of the stock market in the media, but  he ascertains that the real increase in based on the "herding" effect of social rational humans who follow popular trends. Despite the increase in the markets, Shiller cautions investors to  keep their portfolios diversified and not dependent on the stock market because based on past historical increases in the market, this increase will also be followed by a decade of  mediocre returns. Because of this good advice and words of caution, the book is considered worthwhile to read especially for anyone considering loading their investments into the stock market.  Robert Shillers recent book "Irrational Exuberance" based on a term coined by Alan Greenspan has been widely well received because of its unconventional interpretation  of the recent U.S. stock market highs. Shiller warns that a depressed performance may be ahead in terms of the market and his book attempts to educate the American population  how to best respond (Irrational Exuberance, 2002). During the period between 1994 and 1999, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tripled which was not reflected in any other aspects within  the market. Shiller maintains that there are several structural and psychological elements which were combined to alter investors perception of the market and the economical state of the world. Among  these elements were included the introduction of the Internet into homes across the country as well as world wide, a misrepresentation that the aging baby boomer market allows for a 

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